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Crunch time: Whaddya think'll happen on Election Day?

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 5:41 am
by dolfan
A'ight (to borrow a word from Nick Saban), even Mark Halperin for Time says McCain outperformed Obama last night in the debate. After each debate, McCain has remained quite close. Obama may be "winning" debates in the eyes of media types, but he's not winning the minds of voters with his performance in them. Mixed signals are out there, too. On the one hand, Obama is planning election night parties, almost ascending to the office before the election, and on the other hand he's warning against counting chickens before they hatch and he's moving into Republican states in this late stage with advertising, networking to get votes out (which tells me they think they need those states). Polls -- all over the place, but mostly putting Obama ahead within or slightly beyond the margin of error.

Karl Rove says he hasn't closed it; Hillary Clinton says he did, last night.

Can this thing really be this close? It may just be me, but I "feel" like people have made up their minds, and this is not going to be that close. I know I've predicted Obama will win, and that's still probably a good conventional-wisdom bet. But, I'm just going to be honest that I don't have any earthly clue how this will really go. I don't think, though, it's going to be close, electorally (maybe in terms of popular vote it will be). In whose favor -- your guess is as good as mine for sure.

What do you really think?

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 5:45 am
by MrDanger
Obama wins big Electorally. Not popular vote though.

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 6:42 am
by crispfin
MrDanger wrote:Obama wins big Electorally. Not popular vote though.

I agree with the big electoral win. I do think he will also win the popular vote but not too sure about the margin. The thing with all the polls is I don't know how accurate they are considering the large number of new voters who will be voting. From what I've seen the majority are for Obama, so who knows? This thing could be a blowout or it could be closer than the polls say. We'll have to see.

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 6:48 am
by MacUser
I think Joe the Plumber is going to rally the middle class and literally cause a vote AGAINST Obama. McCain has NEVER closed the deal with anyone... but he is the best option available and he makes fantastic VP decisions.

Listen to this Joe guy. He's a self employed middle American that I am proud of. This is reaching middle America.

Go Joe.

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 6:51 am
by Paully_44
MrDanger wrote:Obama wins big Electorally. Not popular vote though.


I agree with that. As such, our votes and opinions really dont count for much.

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 6:59 am
by EagerBeaver
Paully_44 wrote:
MrDanger wrote:Obama wins big Electorally. Not popular vote though.


I agree with that. As such, our votes and opinions really dont count for much.


No they do not.

VOTE BARR

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 11:06 am
by Gerald Creasy
I think that the Goebels Media have y'all thinking exactly what they want you to think.

As I have said before Reagan was at a lower Poll percentage and look who won!

Latest Gallup has 49-47 well within the margin of error.

Meet Joe the Plumber

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 11:27 am
by deb
Video from ABC News

http://abcnews.go.com/Video/playerIndex?id=6047458

He says he isn't saying who he's voting for.

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 12:03 pm
by soulsearcher
It literally sickens me to say it but, by the power vested in the Liberal Media, Obama will be the next President of the United States.

I am absolutely wrung out emotionally over this election and my faith in the common sense and decency of the average American. It feels like death is hovering, waiting to tighten its last grip before the final breath of air is exhaled.

Gloom? Doom? For my country, yes.

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 12:04 pm
by KBevangelist
Gerald Creasy wrote:I think that the Goebels Media have y'all thinking exactly what they want you to think.

As I have said before Reagan was at a lower Poll percentage and look who won!

Latest Gallup has 49-47 well within the margin of error.


Gerald I think you are right!!!

The media is portraying a landslide. I just do not buy it. This race is not over yet.

Personally, I can see McCain taking a few blue states. That would knock Democrats flat of their back.

Like you said Gallup has got a new poll out 49-47.

So do not give up. Your vote does count and your opinions do matter.

KB

I see a McCain WIN

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 12:07 pm
by scooter
I see a McCain WIN.

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 12:11 pm
by sweetpea
I pray that you are right.

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 12:12 pm
by soulsearcher
Scooter, I certainly hope you are right, son! With all my heart. And as you often say, "I love ya'll." Thanks for lifting my spirits a little with your simple post.

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 1:51 pm
by KBevangelist
I really think ACORN and Joe the Plumber (As mentioned in another thread) are going to take Obama down.

He does not close well and people are really starting to see whim for who he is.

http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/10/16 ... ies-acorn/

KB

Posted: October 16th, 2008, 2:07 pm
by Paully_44
KBevangelist wrote:I really think ACORN and Joe the Plumber (As mentioned in another thread) are going to take Obama down.


The plumber without a plumbers license and owing in back taxes? I wonder if he wishes he could give back his 15 minutes of fame.