Postby TW » February 11th, 2009, 4:21 pm
Dawgs10,
Your father is right in some respects, he is also wrong in others. He views the Great Depression through the filter of his own experience. It wasn’t simply a matter of hang on to the money at the top and let the workers starve. The Great Depression occurred for a number of reasons.
Most economist and historians will point to the Stock Market crash on October 29, 1929 (Black Tuesday) as being the trigger for the depression. It is important to remember that this was only the trigger, and not the cause. The causes were many and varied. One of the most important was credit. Prior to the crash, credit was easily available for purchasing or investing. The Stock Market crashed because at that time margin requirements were only 10%, in other words, Brokerage firms would lend $9 for every $1 an investor had deposited. When the market fell, the brokers called in these loans which could not be paid back.
Banks began to fail as debtors defaulted and depositors attempted to withdraw their deposits in masse. No bank has the capital on hand to pay out all of their deposits at any given time. This triggered multiple bank runs. Bank failures led to the loss of billions of dollars in assets. Outstanding debt became heavier because prices and income fell by 20 - 50%, however the debts remained at the same dollar amount. In the first 10 months of 1930, 744 U.S. banks failed, and during the entire 1930s 9000 banks failed. Bank failures snowballed as bankers called in loans which the borrowers did not have time or money to repay. With the outlook of future profits dim, capital investment and construction slowed or completely stopped. Faced with bad loans and worsening future prospects the surviving banks became even more conservative in their lending. They built up the their capital reserves and made fewer loans, which in turn increased the deflationary pressures. A “vicious cycle” developed and the downward trend accelerated. The effort to liquidate debt could not keep up with the fall of prices which it caused. The stampede to liquidate increased the value of each dollar owed, relative to the value of declining asset holdings. As debtors tried to lesson their burden of debt they effectively increased it.
Add to this the effects of the "Dust Bowl" drought, and the mass displacement of farm families that it caused. The shortage of readily available money meant that farm prices fell and farmers could no longer afford to produce crops at a profitable level. The construction and logging industries ground to a virtual halt adding to the unemployment problems. With the reduced purchasing power the industrial sector had no one to buy their products and factories shut down or reduced their labor force, compounding the unemployment crisis.
These are just some of the causes that turned the 1930 recession into the 1933 Great Depression.
TW
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