Postby dolfan » October 16th, 2008, 5:41 am
A'ight (to borrow a word from Nick Saban), even Mark Halperin for Time says McCain outperformed Obama last night in the debate. After each debate, McCain has remained quite close. Obama may be "winning" debates in the eyes of media types, but he's not winning the minds of voters with his performance in them. Mixed signals are out there, too. On the one hand, Obama is planning election night parties, almost ascending to the office before the election, and on the other hand he's warning against counting chickens before they hatch and he's moving into Republican states in this late stage with advertising, networking to get votes out (which tells me they think they need those states). Polls -- all over the place, but mostly putting Obama ahead within or slightly beyond the margin of error.
Karl Rove says he hasn't closed it; Hillary Clinton says he did, last night.
Can this thing really be this close? It may just be me, but I "feel" like people have made up their minds, and this is not going to be that close. I know I've predicted Obama will win, and that's still probably a good conventional-wisdom bet. But, I'm just going to be honest that I don't have any earthly clue how this will really go. I don't think, though, it's going to be close, electorally (maybe in terms of popular vote it will be). In whose favor -- your guess is as good as mine for sure.
What do you really think?
Human government bears the same relation to hell as the church bears to heaven. (David Lipscomb, On Civil Government, 72).