Early Exit Polls

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Susie Hamilton
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Postby Susie Hamilton » November 4th, 2008, 3:10 pm

I was just wondering. What is the track record of these early projections? How often are they right???
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Postby Mole_J » November 4th, 2008, 3:13 pm

MSNBC calling PA for Obama.

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Postby valley » November 4th, 2008, 3:14 pm

most of the time they are pretty good, every once in awhile they miss it big time. I think we will see tonight being fairly correct.

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Accurate

Postby Pastor Gary » November 4th, 2008, 3:18 pm

valley wrote:most of the time they are pretty good, every once in awhile they miss it big time. I think we will see tonight being fairly correct.

Would it be fair and accurate to assume you hold an Obama bias?
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Re: Accurate

Postby valley » November 4th, 2008, 3:27 pm

Pastor Gary wrote:
valley wrote:most of the time they are pretty good, every once in awhile they miss it big time. I think we will see tonight being fairly correct.

Would it be fair and accurate to assume you hold an Obama bias?


No. I voted McCain/Palin. Although I really did not care for either McCain or Obama. I would have cast a 3rd party protest vote if McCain had it locked.

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Re: Accurate

Postby Pastor Gary » November 4th, 2008, 3:31 pm

valley wrote:
Pastor Gary wrote:
valley wrote:most of the time they are pretty good, every once in awhile they miss it big time. I think we will see tonight being fairly correct.

Would it be fair and accurate to assume you hold an Obama bias?


No. I voted McCain/Palin. Although I really did not care for either McCain or Obama. I would have cast a 3rd party protest vote if McCain had it locked.

Thanks.
"God is excited to show you mercy. He rises to give you His compassion." (Isaiah 30:18)



"For surely, O LORD, you bless the righteous;
you surround them with your favor as with a shield." (Psalm 5:12)

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Re: Accurate

Postby valley » November 4th, 2008, 3:35 pm

Pastor Gary wrote:
valley wrote:
Pastor Gary wrote:
valley wrote:most of the time they are pretty good, every once in awhile they miss it big time. I think we will see tonight being fairly correct.

Would it be fair and accurate to assume you hold an Obama bias?


No. I voted McCain/Palin. Although I really did not care for either McCain or Obama. I would have cast a 3rd party protest vote if McCain had it locked.

Thanks.


NP. It is a fair question. I trust the polls so long as they are a truly random sample. The best poll is face to face that hand picks respondents to reflect the correct voting demographics. (This is expensive and rarely done.)

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Postby valley » November 4th, 2008, 3:44 pm

Mole_J wrote:MSNBC calling PA for Obama.


CNN is agreeing. Interestingly, VSUTV is playing taps. Could this be foresight?

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Postby KBevangelist » November 4th, 2008, 3:48 pm

Why are they calling states so early before all the precints have tallied their votes?

I mean with like 1% of a state precints they are calling them

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Postby Mole_J » November 4th, 2008, 3:48 pm

valley wrote:
Mole_J wrote:MSNBC calling PA for Obama.


CNN is agreeing. Interestingly, VSUTV is playing taps. Could this be foresight?


The networks may have more information, but only 1% of the precincts reporting as I am typing this. I wonder if they called this too early.

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Postby KBevangelist » November 4th, 2008, 4:02 pm

They are calling states left and right without the precints being tallied. Unreal, might as well call the election for Obama

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Ha!

Postby Pastor Gary » November 4th, 2008, 4:05 pm

KBevangelist wrote:They are calling states left and right without the precints being tallied. Unreal, might as well call the election for Obama.

The media called the race for Obama about 18 months ago when they jumped off the HRC bandwagon.
"God is excited to show you mercy. He rises to give you His compassion." (Isaiah 30:18)



"For surely, O LORD, you bless the righteous;
you surround them with your favor as with a shield." (Psalm 5:12)

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Re: Ha!

Postby KBevangelist » November 4th, 2008, 4:16 pm

Pastor Gary wrote:
KBevangelist wrote:They are calling states left and right without the precints being tallied. Unreal, might as well call the election for Obama.

The media called the race for Obama about 18 months ago when they jumped off the HRC bandwagon.


You speak the truth!!!

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Postby one love » November 4th, 2008, 4:50 pm

4 years ago they had most the states called by now, I told ya they would not call them as quick this time.

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Postby deb » November 4th, 2008, 4:58 pm

Obama closing in on McCain 49-50% with 78% reporting.
About a 500 vote difference.


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